Recently, headlines about crises and unrest in various countries have been growing. How does crisis early warning expert A3M evaluate the situation? The updated Risk Map for 2025 indicates heightened travel risks in many nations.
Experts revealed various changes in security situations worldwide, with some countries improving while others have become more troubled. For instance, it is safer for travelers to visit Argentina, where protests against the government's painful reforms have decreased. Similar improvements are noted in Moldova following the re-election of a pro-European president. Additionally, unrest caused by Serbs in northern Kosovo has subsided. The political security situation has also stabilized in Armenia and Azerbaijan; however, neighboring Georgia has recently experienced a rise in political demonstrations, as reported in the media.
In contrast, Bolivia is facing a more challenging situation, with ongoing violent protests and blockades organized by supporters of former President Morales. The security environment in Iran has significantly deteriorated due to ongoing conflicts involving Israel. The election of Donald Trump as President of the United States could intensify tensions, a concern that applies similarly to Lebanon. Furthermore, in Mexico, experts have noted a decline in traveler safety attributed to the rise of violent cartel crime, and the potential for increased international cooperation could lead to further deterioration shortly.
Experts highlight the main "risers and fallers" in travel risks and changes occurring in other countries. For instance, in the province of Papua in eastern Indonesia, the security situation has improved, although this does not extend to isolated conflict areas within the province. Similarly, the situation in the Ethiopian province of Tigray stabilized after the war ended in November 2022. However, there has been a deterioration in parts of Thailand and eastern India, albeit in regions less relevant to tourism. In Thailand, this specifically pertains to the border area with neighbor Myanmar.
Seems curious how the risk for travellers in USA is when 19% all of homicides in the world occur there...